{"id":35202,"date":"2018-05-15T12:00:23","date_gmt":"2018-05-15T10:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ak-online.de\/2018\/05\/in-a-nutshell-winters-procedure\/"},"modified":"2025-02-10T14:05:43","modified_gmt":"2025-02-10T13:05:43","slug":"in-a-nutshell-winters-procedure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ak-online.de\/en\/in-a-nutshell-winters-procedure\/","title":{"rendered":"In a nutshell: Winters procedure"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Winters&#8217; method (often referred to as the Holt-Winters method) is based on Holt&#8217;s method and also takes seasonal influences into account. Like the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ak-online.de\/en\/2018\/03\/22\/in-a-nutshell-holt-procedure\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Holt method<\/a>, it uses exponential smoothing, but supplements the Holt method by taking seasonal influences into account. The process can handle seasonalities of any length. So it doesn&#8217;t always have to be a typical annual seasonality.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Our tip:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The winter method is of interest if the development of a time series to be forecast has a trend and a season. Never use this procedure if the trend and season are not available!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Winters&#8217; method (often referred to as the Holt-Winters method) is based on Holt&#8217;s method and also takes seasonal influences into account. Like the Holt method, it uses exponential smoothing, but supplements the Holt method by taking seasonal influences into account. The process can handle seasonalities of any length. So it doesn&#8217;t always have to be<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":30244,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1721,1731,1758],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35202","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-planning-disposition","category-sales-demand-forecast","category-scm-glossary"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.5.2 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Winters&#039; method (often referred to as the Holt-Winters method) is based on Holt&#039;s method and also takes seasonal influences into account. Like the Holt method, it uses exponential smoothing, but supplements the Holt method by taking seasonal influences into account. The process can handle seasonalities of any length. So it doesn&#039;t always have to be\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Prof. Dr. Andreas Kemmner\"\/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ak-online.de\/en\/in-a-nutshell-winters-procedure\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 4.9.5.2\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Abels &amp; Kemmner - Supply chain optimisation | Abels &amp; Kemmner Management Consultancy\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"In a nutshell: Winters procedure | Abels &amp; Kemmner - Supply chain optimisation\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Winters&#039; method (often referred to as the Holt-Winters method) is based on Holt&#039;s method and also takes seasonal influences into account. Like the Holt method, it uses exponential smoothing, but supplements the Holt method by taking seasonal influences into account. The process can handle seasonalities of any length. So it doesn&#039;t always have to be\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ak-online.de\/en\/in-a-nutshell-winters-procedure\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-05-15T10:00:23+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-02-10T13:05:43+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"In a nutshell: Winters procedure | Abels &amp; Kemmner - Supply chain optimisation\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Winters&#039; method (often referred to as the Holt-Winters method) is based on Holt&#039;s method and also takes seasonal influences into account. Like the Holt method, it uses exponential smoothing, but supplements the Holt method by taking seasonal influences into account. The process can handle seasonalities of any length. 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